StockLemonAide

This blog is intended to shed some light on the 'investagtors' over at 'stocklemon.com'.

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Thursday, August 23, 2007

I don't consider myself to be a 'conspiracy theorist', by any stretch. I don't own, nor have ever worn a tinfoil hat. BUT.....

Things with our beloved HSOA have truly taken a turn for the weird. Just hours before HSOA confirmed my suspicions, and released the details of their Tampa project, Roddy Boyd of the New York Post put out another piece of trash on the company stating that a particular sub contractor had not been paid and the company owed him 50 large. If you are taking a course in journalistic ethics, or stock manipulation, this "story" (and it truly is a yarn) might serve as a good thesis paper:

(http://www.nypost.com/seven/08232007/business/builder_may_be_going_bust.htm)

I could spend about 10 seconds discounting this, but analyst Joe Giamichael over at Rodman and Renshaw said it best:

"Also of note to investors, there was another negative article published this morning in the Post regarding a contractor dispute. The article attempts to establish Home Solutions as illiquid and unable to pay its subcontractors. The company finished Q2 with over $4mm of cash, $51mm of accounts receivable - net of payables - and significant borrowing capacity remaining. The article is focused on a $50k contractor dispute, which should serve as a poor basis for drawing larger conclusions relative to the $50mm Q2 reported revenues and our $198.7mm FY 2007 revenue projection. Subcontractor payment disputes are very common to this industry and almost always revolve around the quality of work relative to the contract agreement. Investors should remain focused on the improving fundamentals, attractive valuation and growing construction services backlog."

The interesting thing here is that Roddy Boyd has attacked the company twice now:
(http://www.nypost.com/seven/07242007/business/retorer_business_roddy_boyd.htm)

So has Hank Greenberg:

(http://blogs.marketwatch.com/greenberg/2007/04/home_solutions_.html)


So has Jim Cramer:
"Home Solutions of America (HSOA): 'There's a monster short position ... I will not recommend this stock with the possibility ... of causing a short squeeze.'"

(http://seekingalpha.com/article/22452)

So has Nicholas Yulico, a cramer lackey at the street.com, perhaps best known for his 2nd degree felony charge that resulted from a college freak out where he and a buddy destroyed a couple of dorm rooms and severely beat some other students:

(http://www.thestreet.com/s/home-solutions-reveals-ugly-details/newsanalysis/homebuildersconstruction/10374797.html?puc=_tscs">http://www.thestreet.com/s/home-solutions-reveals-ugly-details/newsanalysis/homebuildersconstruction/10374797.html?puc=_tscs">http://www.thestreet.com/s/home-solutions-reveals-ugly-details/newsanalysis/homebuildersconstruction/10374797.html?puc=_tscs)

Ok, so what is my point? If these guys all agree about Home Solutions, it must be a really bad company, right?

What if all three of these guys had been subpoenaed by the SEC regarding previous consorted short attacks? We KNOW they run together, the SEC proved that by issuing Subpoenas. Where is the ax that Roddy is grinding this morning, just hours before the long awaited release of detailed information on the Tampa Project? Why is he so focused on HSOA?
(http://www.thesanitycheck.com/BobsSanityCheckBlog/tabid/56/EntryID/109/Default.aspx)
Maybe these media outlets are doing the bidding of a higher power? Maybe they know the other shoe is about to drop in the form of a payment of FIGA and the subsequent improvement of the balance sheet? Lord only knows, but when 3 guys who have been subpoenaed for previous work on beating down a company team up again on a different company, it HAS to raise eyebrows.

Im gunna need ALOT of tin-foil.

Thursday, August 16, 2007

Wah, Wah, Wah - Nobody can find the florida development. HSOA won't comment about it yet, citing confidentiality - probably a good idea until all of the t's are dotted and i's are crossed. Well, folks, I believe I have found the Florida property, and it appears legit, and it sounds like the zoning changes are either finalized or will be shortly.

From Stocklemon, dated July 17:

"It is now close to a month and a half after Home Solutions announced the $100 million contract in Tampa and we have finally made some progress in finding out what we believe to be the mystery project. After 6 weeks of searching up and down all over Hillsborough County for what might be this 600,000 square foot project, Citron believes we have finally found it. It seems to fit much of the criteria of what has been described to the public."

From Stocklemon, dated Aug, 1 2007:

"(and our favorite is) the whereabouts of the Tampa project, which we will now put in the same category as the Loch Ness Monster and Bigfoot. They are all merely legends that some swear by but no one can prove."

From Carl Cronan reporter with the Tampa Bay Business Journal:

(http://www.bizjournals.com/dallas/stories/2007/06/04/daily31.html)

"The Tampa Bay Business Journal, in checking with several commercial real estate sources, is yet to identify any similar projects to the one cited by HSOA that are either under way or are set to be announced within Hillsborough County in Florida."



Ok, Here we go. I believe that stocklemon actually got close on this one, but not close enough. Maybe they do know what I am about to tell you, but withheld it because this WONT make the share price decline.

In their July 17 hatchet job, they did link Brian Marshall of Fireline to a company called Craftmar. They then speculated that a 4 acre property was the site in question.

What I believe, is that Craftmar, is working with the "2006 Greater Tampa Chamber of Commerce Small Business of the Year", Genesis Group.

Here is an article describing the project:
(http://www.sptimes.com/2007/01/05/Brandontimes/Proposal_would_mean_c.shtml)

"Council Bay Farms wants to build 296 condominiums and 300,000 square feet of retail space, with another 335,000 square feet for office and warehouse uses. Before a zoning hearing master in November, Kevin Mineer of the Genesis Group described a big-box anchor tenant, with other shops and service businesses."

Here is where it appears that the Zoning gets approved:

www.hillsboroughcounty.org/htv/caption/scripts/zo070110.rtf

Here is where I think the actual land is, described in documents above as being at the SW corner of 41 & Leisly in Apollo Beach Florida (Hillsburough County). In the link below, the actual parcel is in the bottom right hand corner, so that you can see the beautiful water-front homes with private boat docks, golf courses, etc in the area.

http://maps.google.com/maps?f=q&hl=en&geocode=&q=Leisey+Road+&sll=27.830575,-82.287598&sspn=0.801529,1.2854&ie=UTF8&t=h&om=1&ll=27.754342,-82.418468&spn=0.012533,0.020084&z=16


So, HSOA acknowledged the relationship between Brian Marshall and another developer in the 10q. We are under the assumption that it is Craftmar - and we now know Craftmar and Genesis have a working relationship.

This property is being worked by genesis, and is the right size and in the right area to match the HSOA PR stating the initial details of the project. I say the project is the real deal - Genesis seems to be top notch, and everything appears to be flowing just fine. Another Stocklemon Myth Busted!!! (like that is so tough... lol)

Monday, August 06, 2007

"Stay focused on the message not the messenger." - Andrew Left in his conferece call regarding the state of affairs at Home Solutions of America. Listen Here


How, exactly, do you expect us to do that Andrew? For example, in your report "The Sound of Silence...", Dated August 1, 2007, you state:

*****************
But is seems that this problem is just not limited to Tampa. Look what we found is going on in New Orleans under the watch of Roy Marshall: http://www.pier8condos.com/updates.php (read the July 20th entry)

“Effective Monday July 16th, the Board of Directors of Pier 8 terminated the services of RG America and Fireline. The reason was due to their ability to pay vendors working at Pier 8. The Board will not tolorate the issue of unpaid vendors in the future.”

Fireline not paying its vendors has already translated to lawsuits. As we can see from this link to the Hillsborough County Courts, this month alone Fireline became the defendant to 2 new lawsuits. This liquidity crunch can not be ignored by investors.
*****************


The funny thing about this, is you seemed to scroll right past this update, posted on the very same site:

(http://www.pier8condos.com/updates.php)
"07 - 27 - 2007

The Association has not made a formal agreement at this point in time to complete all repairs.

Michael Cox and Don English are still onsite pursuing the completion of all repairs. The Association paid all the vendors currently owed money this week in order to keep the work force on site."

So, Whats the deal, Left? You continue to post 1/2 truths, even when you had to have read that update, which was dated almost a week before you made your post. It is clear from that statement that money was owed by the association - when they paid, the subs got paid, and the HSOA boys are still on the job. Whats wrong, doesn't that fit your short thesis?

Friday, August 03, 2007

Wow - Jeeze lefty, what happened today? With your groundbreaking release this morning, promising a 'conference call' on HSOA Monday, you would thing HSOA investors would be fleeing like rats from a sinking ship!! Couple that with a near 300 point decline in the DJIA, and you would think people would really be panicking!!

LOL Not quite!! HSOA closes up 3.05% at 5.40 on the day that Stocklemon threatens them with their bogus CC.

Desperate times call for desperate measures.

Is ole' Lefty posting up his actual positions for the world to see?

http://www.tipstraders.com/tipster.php?id=414&lm=20

This website seems to be a place for traders to post up their trades and show the world how brilliant and successful they are. Here is the fine print from the bottom of the page:

"The picks above are, unless otherwise stated, entered by registered members of TipsTraders.com in accordance with our general methodology and respecting any proprietary rights"


Ok - so if this IS stocklemon tracking their own trades, it looks like they have 3 open positions in HSOA:

06/19-07 6.05 08/01-07
10/19-06 5.12 10/23-06
08/16-06 5.71 09/14-06

Assuming that these are equal weight positions, at the current trading price of HSOA which is $5.30, and considering Stocklemon's average price is $5.626 - they are up about .32 minus any interest they have been paying to hold the short position. Anyone who has watched trading over the past couple of days has seen very strong resistance in the $5.50 range. But just this week, HSOA got new Analyst coverage, and has rocketed up almost 25% off of recent lows.

Of course, stocklemon has been very active this week, posting another of their garbage reports, and in a stocklemon first, announcing they are going to hold a conference call to discuss "the current state of affairs at HSOA". LOL ARE YOU KIDDING ME?? HOW DESPERATE ARE YOU LEFTY? LOLLOLOLOLOLOLOL

Anyone who has spent more than 5 seconds in the past 2 weeks consuming any type of financial news knows that the big drag on the market right now is a 'credit crunch', which originated with the sub-prime home lenders. Lots of hedge funds are getting margin calls right now, and are liquidating assets for pennies on the dollar to stay solvent. It is truly amazing how quickly a leveraged trade can turn against you - and my speculation is that Left had lots of shares short sub $5.00 (that he is not tracking on tipstrader.com) against HSOA over the last 30 days, and I also would bet that HE IS HIGHLY LEVERAGED. With margin requirements being ratcheted up, my best guess is that ANDREW LEFT AND 'CITRON' ARE FACING A HUGE MARGIN CALL, AND ARE DESPERATELY UNDERWATER WITH A LEVERAGED TRADE THAT RAN AGAINST THEM WHEN HSOA RECEIVED NEW ANALYST COVERAGE ON MONDAY OF THIS WEEK.

Their only hope now is to hold a "conference call" that will drive the price down to a level where they can cover. HSOA reports earnings on Wednesday, August 8th, 2 days after the stocklemon event. Andrew Left knows that he is facing several catalysts that could easily return the stock back to the recent $8+ level - and if he cannot cover before that call, he will be toast. The analyst coverage was unexpected, and has most likely seriously jeopardized Left's ability to cover his short position.

Furthermore, STOCKLEMON IS REFUSING TO TAKE LIVE QUESTIONS DURING THEIR CONFERENCE CALL!!!!! WHY LEFT? WHY CANT I CALL IN AND ASK LIVE QUESTIONS? WHY CAN'T WE ASK ABOUT TOPICS THAT ARE RELEVANT TO US? WHY DO YOU NEED TO HAVE EDITORIAL APPROVAL ON ALL QUESTIONS THAT ARE TO BE EMAILED IN ONLY??

From the PR of the stocklemon 'conf call':

"Citron will also hold a Q&A period. Citron will answer all substantive question.
All questions must be emailed beforehand to questions@citronresearch.com"

Stocklemonaide has already proven that Andrew left is a LIAR and a THIEF. Now he, himself, has proven that he is a COWARD, and most likely desperately trapped in a leveraged short position, and facing massive losses.

Folks, I think it is time to SQUEEZE THE LEMON!!!

Just a quick refresher course on Lefty:

1.) It seems Andrew Edward Left stole 6 checks when he left his position as CEO of detour media group, and cashed the for $25,000 the same week that stocklemon.com first appeared:

http://stocklemonaide.blogspot.com/2006/06/why-spend-your-own-money-when-you-can.html

2.) Andrew Edward Left was BARRED from the National Futures Association for
"Making false and misleading statements to cheat, defraud, or deceive a
customer"
http://www.nfa.futures.org/BasicNet/Details.aspx?entityid=0251031

Simple question - Why believe anything this guy says?

Monday, July 30, 2007

What a long, strange trip its been…

Well folks, it has been about a year since I posted last. Everything was good there for a while. HSOA’s management dropped the ball big time in q4 06, and posted a horrible miss for the quarter. (http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid=%7b18654CFB-0500-4690-88F0-22F3502EA752%7d&siteid=yhoo&dist=yhoo). Weird thing was, ole Leftty and Co were quiet on HSOA for months. Stocklemon changed their name to ‘Citron Research’. They also teased with an ‘Invest with Citron’ tab on their page that latter disappeared – google saved a copy though (http://www.google.com/search?q=cache:SIiwGy0R-zUJ:list.citronresearch.com/%3Fp%3Dsubscribe+'Invest+with+citron'&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=3&gl=us&client=firefox-a). Lack of interest, perhaps? Or maybe it is the fact that their track record just flat out stinks lately with hated companies like IIG doubling in less than 12 months with citron bashing the whole way up. Or, maybe it is because Andrew Edward Left lost his “National Futures Association” membership for 3 years due to:


“ON FEBRUARY 13, 1998, A DESIGNATED PANEL OF NFA'S HEARING COMMITTEE ISSUED A DECISION AFTER A HEARING TO BRIDGES, VITELLO, DAYAN, BURSTEEN, ZAGER ZINNER, PARKS, GROSS, GETZ AND LEFT. THE PANEL MADE THE FOLLOWING FINDINGS AND IMPOSED THE FOLLOWING PENALTIES:

ANDREW LEFT -


THE PANEL FOUND THAT LEFT MADE FALSE AND MISLEADING STATEMENTS TO CHEAT, DEFRAUD OR DECEIVE A CUSTOMER IN VIOLATION OF NFA COMPLIANCE RULES 2-2(a) AND 2-29(a)(1). LEFT'S CONDUCT WAS INCONSISTENT WITH JUST AND EQUITABLE PRINCIPLES OF TRADE.

CONSEQUENTLY, THE PANEL BARRED LEFT FROM ASSOCIATION WITH AND FROM ACTING AS A PRINCIPAL OF ANY NFA MEMBER FOR THREE YEARS; ORDERED HIM TO TAKE AN ETHICS TRAINING COURSE; AND PLACED RESTRICTIONS ON HIS ACTIVITIES FOR TWO YEARS WHICH PREVENT HIM FROM SUPERVISING ANY AP AND REQUIRE HIM TO TAPE RECORD AND LOG ALL CONVERSATIONS WITH CURRENT AND POTENTIAL CUSTOMERS.”

http://www.nfa.futures.org/BasicNet/Details.aspx?entityid=0251031

Whats a guy to do? Start up a website, and try to STEAL YOUR MONEY by creating FEAR, UNCERTAINTY AND DOUBT, while SHORTING the companies that you invested your (hopefull) legally and hard earned dollars in.

Labels:

Monday, August 21, 2006

Wrong again!

If shorts were thinkin that C&B couldn't pay HSOA, they can start covering now:From the Friday CHYSE press release:
(http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/060818/20060818005397.html?.v=1)

///Charys' subsidiary C&B also announced the scheduled closing of a new $35 million revolving credit facility. The financing is in the form of a Senior Secured Revolving Credit Facility, which will provide up to $35.0 million to C&B, with Charys as the guarantor. Proceeds will be used to refinance certain indebtedness and the initial acquisition of C&B. In addition the Company expects that the financing will support future growth and development initiatives and facilitate the purchase of additional revenue generating assets.\\\

Friday, August 18, 2006

Please excuse the technical difficulties... Or, Ooops, our lawyer just called.

The boys over at stocklemon.com were sure busy on Monday night. After the bell on Monday, HSOA released another round of record earnings. They blew away the estimate by over 50%, and after hours action took the stock up over 25%. Knowing that they had to do something NOW, the stocklemon boys hit the crack pipe and tried to discredit HSOA again on Tuesday morning. The story has since been pulled from their site - when you click on the archive link to the story, you are redirected to a story on CSHD. Perhaps their lawyer called?

Lets review stocklemon.com's latest hatchet job on HSOA (yes, I saved a copy):

"In the story we noted that insiders sold millions of dollars in stock at very high prices – on the heels of a highly misleading press release, in which the company trumpeted a “contract in New Orleans” to sell mobile homes. Turned out the counterparty to the contract was a company that Home Solutions itself had just established and funded, a fact that Home Solutions conveniently failed to disclose. The shareholder lawsuits predictably followed."

Well - in typical Stocklemon fashion, there are a couple of interesting things they forgot to mention here.

1.) In the original press announcement they refer to, HSOA did NOT provide any type of revenue guidance for the contract with ARH. When I read this press announcement for the first time, that told me loud and clear that the impact in FY06 would be minimal. Don't let the lemonheads fool you - despite their best efforts to convince the world otherwise, they are not that stupid (no really, it just isn’t possible for them to be THAT stupid).

2.) ARH had their grand opening today on 8/18/2006. Their website is now fully functional, with lots of floor plans and 3d renderings of the model homes. Visit thier website @ (http://www.amrenhomes.com/index.html)

3.) ARH is active in community charity programs. Think Stocklemon.com is???? (http://www.amrenhomes.com/community.html)

4.) Yes, some lawfirms were fishing around trying to find plaintiffs for class action suits. Too bad they couldnt find a lead plaintiff as of these postings:(http://biz.yahoo.com/iw/060818/0155334.html)(http://biz.yahoo.com/pz/060814/103772.html)

5.) HSOA did NOT 'Establish' ARH. They made them a loan for 800k that is fully disclosed in the current 10q: (http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/855424/000100329706000346/hom10q1.htm)

"On May 24, 2006, the Company entered into an exclusive agreement with a modular housing sales agent stating it will provide installation services for modular housing in New Orleans and surrounding areas. In connection with the agreement, the Company agreed to loan a third party up to $800 in a note receivable. The note requires one balloon installment of all accrued but unpaid interest and all outstanding principal on August 17, 2006. The note bears interest at the lesser of (a) 7% on a per annum basis, (b) the maximum rate per annum permitted by applicable law."

So lets get this right - HSOA LOANS ARH 800k, gets at least 7% interest, and gets the exclusive rights to installation services for any home that ARH sells? Most companies DREAM of having contracts this good. I guess they could have made more money starting a website, lying about stocks, and then naked shorting them, but hey, I guess some people just have morals.

Ok, that myth is busted!! NEXT?


"Is history about to repeat itself?In the late afternoon of August 14, Home Solutions filed an S-3 registration for insiders to sell over 5 million shares of stock. Just two hours later, the company released a quarterly report that seemed decent at first glance, until you take a deeper look."

1.) Come on guys!! Lol - that is sneaky, even for you!!! "for insiders to sell over 5 million shares"? lol... The last transaction was for Frank F, CEO, to PURCHASE 100k Shares on the open market. Here is a link to the S3: (http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/855424/000100329706000343/hsoaforms31.htm)

Myth Busted!! NEXT

"HOLD ON!! It appears as if Home Solutions is booking revenue for work that has not even been performed, notice the phrase “to be used…”This is furthered on the following page when we get a clearer understanding of why Home Solutions showed such great operating margins. As stated in the filings:“HSR of Louisiana generated higher margin fees associated with contracts to commit a portion of its labor force with its major recovery/restoration customer”Again we see the words “to commit”, thereby in the future. That explains the high margins. It is easy to have high margins when you book work that you haven’t performed."
1.) Uh - read the 10q there tough guy. 3 of the 43 million booked this year was for standby. Standby is common in the service industry - see the post below for more on this.

Myth Busted!!! Next??

"The company who they are booking this revenue with is C&B Services, which itself has been merged into an OTC BB company named Charys (OTCBB:CHYS). This is the $40 million customer who allows HSOA such terrific margins. Here is a look at the pedigree of the directors of Charys (parent to C&B Services):"

1.) After this, they went on, slinging mud a couple of people involved with CHYS and C&B services. What the hell is the point??? Even if CHYS goes under, and takes C&B with them, HSOA is STILL protected for any work performed as a sub. They simply file a lean on the properties that they did the work on. Maybe the stocklemon boys should focus on magazine companies, since they personally know how to run them into the ground - they obviously have NO understanding of the type of work that HSOA does.

Myth Busted!!! NEXT?

"Home Solutions is a rollup. Nearly all of its growth is due to acquisitions for debt and/or stock. With rollups, you have to be extra careful with the numbers. Since rollups intentionally grow fast through acquisitions, “Record Revenues” and “Record Earnings” alone do not provide a basis for record share prices. The key factor is dilution. A rollup will always show “Record Revenues and “Record Earnings” … at least for a while. But to justify higher share prices, those revenues and profits have to justify the dilution. The only way to do that is through gaining large-scale efficiencies and synergies – enough to offset the capital cost of the acquisitions – and then some. "
1.) Ok, so here they go ripping on HSOA for making some great acquisitions again. Who says that HSOA and Fireline wont achieve "large-scale efficiencies and synergies"??
2.) They then go on the "dilution!!!" tyrade. What they fail to tell you is that Fireline is bringing thier assets and A/R to the party. 28m in A/R to exact. It seems that this A/R is what HSOA will repay the debt they took out to buy Fireline with, which means they should be brining on 40m in rev per year with 10m ebitda for 11m in cash and 4m shares. They just bought this company for a multiple of .9x 1 year earnings. Most acquisitions are 4-5x. Hmmm. Yea. Sounds like dillution to me. Maybe the stocklemon boys have words that start with 'Dil' on the brain. Choose your own favorite. Doh!!

Myth Busted!!! NEXT???

"In our first report, Stocklemon questioned how this company can ever meet their target of $160 million in revenue for the year. Sad for investors that the company never seems to break it out, but we do know two things.HSOA has booked $43 mil in rev for the first half of 2006. How is the company going to generate $120 mil for the next 6 months?? Anyone ?1. $40 million is supposed to come from Charys.2. HSOA acquired Fireline, who supposedly did $20 mil in revenue for the first half of the year, yet HSOA never raised guidance to adjust to the acquisition. Are they losing $20 mil in other places??? "
1.) This is laughable at best. What the sourpusses are trying to tell you is that HSOA is lying OVER AND OVER again about guidance. They continue to re-affirm the number. So, what is the play here for HSOA??? Come out with a bogus estimate for the year, continue to re-affirm it, acquire another company, and then go out of business? We will know by the end of Q3, when HSOA promised to provide clarity on the impact of the fireline acquisition.

Stocklemon is basically saying that HSOA will go out of business before the end of Q3. I think they are wrong. They seem to be wrong about everything at HSOA though. I think the more likely story is they knew their GIANT short position was in SERIOUS jeopardy after the stellar earnings, and they had to make up as much as they could and release it before things could get out of hand. I further bet that they used that report to cover their short, and move on to greener pastures, like OIC, who they reported on days later. Now the retail shorts are the only ones left to feel the squeeze when HSOA ups guidance AGAIN this year.